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USDA Weekly Crop Progress     11/29 15:28

   Final Crop Progress Report of 2022: Winter Wheat Condition Rises, but Still 
Lowest in 20 Years

   Winter wheat condition rose 2 percentage points to 34% good to excellent 
last week.

Anthony Greder
DTN Managing Editor

   This article was originally posted at 3:05 p.m. CST on Tuesday, Nov. 29. It 
was last updated with additional information at 3:28 p.m. CST on Tuesday, Nov. 


   OMAHA (DTN) -- Winter wheat conditions improved slightly last week but 
remained at a two-decade low, USDA NASS reported in its final weekly national 
Crop Progress report of 2022 released Tuesday. The weekly reports, which run 
from the beginning of April to the end of November each year, will resume on 
Monday, April 3, 2023.


   -- Crop development: 91% of winter wheat was emerged as of Sunday, Nov. 27, 
equal to last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the five-year average of 
90%. "Illinois and Kansas are two major producers who are lagging at 84% and 
87% emerged, respectively -- both trailing the five-year average," noted DTN 
Senior Analyst Dana Mantini.

   -- Crop condition: 34% of the crop was rated in good-to-excellent condition, 
up 2 percentage points from the previous week's 32% but 10 percentage points 
below last year's rating of 44% good to excellent and the lowest reading in 20 
years. "That portion of the crop rated as very poor to poor improved to 26% 
from 33% the week prior," Mantini said. "Major producer Kansas is rated at just 
21% good to excellent and 43% poor to very poor."


   Topsoil moisture: In the lower 48 states, topsoil moisture was rated 50% 
very short to short and 50% adequate to surplus. That compares to last year's 
ratings of 34% very short to short and 66% adequate to surplus.

   Subsoil moisture: 56% very short to short and 44% adequate to surplus. That 
compares to last year's ratings of 38% very short to short and 62% adequate to 


   The annual Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade may be over, but farmers and 
ranchers should get ready for another parade -- this one of storms -- expected 
to move across the country in the next couple of weeks, according to DTN Ag 
Meteorologist John Baranick.

   "It's going to be an active weather week," Baranick said. "This is all being 
set up by an upper-level trough in the West and a developing ridge in the Gulf 
of Mexico. The difference between the two will become strong, which increases 
the strength of the accompanying storms, allowing for otherwise minor 
disturbances to create larger storm systems with greater impacts.

   "A front will sweep across the country through Wednesday. It will get a 
boost in the upper levels, creating a band of moderate snow from Nebraska to 
Wisconsin but will also feature severe weather across the South. The Lower 
Mississippi Valley into parts of the Southeast should see a sizeable threat for 
strong wind gusts and tornados, mostly on Tuesday afternoon and evening. Rains 
from this system will not be overly heavy, as the system is moving along fairly 
quickly, but will bring widespread rains to the eastern half of the country, 
which should help to reduce drought coverage and intensity.

   "Another system will move through late this week and weekend. Here, a band 
of heavier snow is expected across the Northern Plains and far northern 
Midwest. The front will have less precipitation with it, but it should settle 
down into the Southern Plains and Tennessee or Ohio Valley this weekend. If it 
stalls out, we could see more appreciable precipitation along the front going 
into next week.

   "With all of the active weather going on, temperatures will be quite 
variable. They will rise well above normal ahead of the storms, then fall below 
normal behind them. Winds are likely to be gusty as well. The difference 
between the two upper-level features will continue the parade of storms into 
next week."

   To view weekly crop progress reports issued by National Ag Statistics 
Service offices in individual states, visit Look for 
the U.S. map in the "Find Data and Reports by" section and choose the state you 
wish to view in the drop-down menu. Then look for that state's "Crop Progress & 
Condition" report.

National Crop Progress Summary
                                        This     Last     Last     5-Year
                                        Week     Week     Year     Avg.
Winter Wheat Emerged                    91       87       91       90
Cotton Harvested                        84       79       84       79


National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
                    This Week           Last Week           Last Year
                    VP  P   F   G   E   VP  P   F   G   E   VP  P   F   G   E
Winter Wheat        10  16  40  28  6   15  18  35  27  5   8   15  33  38  6

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