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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 12/02 11:40
Cattle Push Higher Tuesday
Still no cash cattle trade has developed, but with the futures market
trading higher, there's a chance feedlot managers may be able to hold the
market steady.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The cattle complex is rallying aggressively into Tuesday's noon hour as
traders are pleased with the market's fundamentals although they understand
risk still remains; still, they believe in the short term, enough downside has
been endured. Still no developments have surfaced in the fed cash cattle
market. March corn is up 5 1/4 cents per bushel and January soybean meal is
down $1.40. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 243.12 points and NASDAQ is
up 162.28 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Traders seemed to take note that on Monday boxed beef demand was stronger as
both midday and closing boxed beef prices were higher, which has helped push
the live cattle contracts substantially higher into Tuesday's noon hour. Now it
is a little disheartening to see midday boxed beef prices are a tick lower
Tuesday -- but thankfully that hasn't affected the futures market thus far.
December live cattle are up $3.82 at $218.02, February live cattle are up $4.55
at $220.42 and April live cattle are up $4.60 at $222.15. Still no trade in the
cash cattle market and no bids or asking prices have surfaced.
Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $2.69 ($366.20) and select down
$4.74 ($353.14) with a movement of 73 loads (55.30 loads of choice, 7.92 loads
of select, zero loads of trim and 9.85 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is again following the direction of the live
cattle market, which has thankfully pushed feeders to a sporty $5.00 to $6.00
rally. January feeders are up $6.40 at $327.97, March feeders are up $6.05 at
$321.57 and April feeders are up $6.00 at $320.85. Tuesday's vibrant rally
should help strengthen feeder cattle sales in the countryside this afternoon.
LEAN HOGS:
Although pork cutout values are a tick higher Tuesday morning, the lean hog
complex is trading lower as traders question if there truly enough support in
the marketplace to push the contracts higher. December lean hogs are up $0.12
at $80.35, February lean hogs are down $0.57 at $79.72 and April lean hogs are
down $0.72 at $83.55. Given that packers weren't very active in last week's
market, it wouldn't be surprising to see more demand from packers developing at
any point in time now.
The projected CME Lean Hog Index is delayed from the source. Hog prices on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report average $70.06, ranging from $65.00 to
$74.00 on 1,535 head and a five-day rolling average of $70.06. Pork cutouts
total 209.12 loads with 187.66 loads of pork cuts and 21.46 loads of trim. Pork
cutout values: up $0.22, $95.01.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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